July 22, 2008...6:51 pm

Trading update #53; 22JUL08 … oil short delivers (finally)

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The action was fast and furious today.  Adding to yesterday’s two REAP re-allocations, we have another two today.

REAP TRADES
# Trade Qty Stock Symbol Price Grp
63 Sold 31% HBP Oil Sht ETF HOD @ $8.21 3
63 Bought 72% Cree Inc CREE @ $20.24 3
64 Sold 41% Sun Hydraulics SNHY @ $39.32 5
64 Bought 49% HBP NGas Bull+ ETF HNU @ $25.48 5
Reap methodology detailed in the blogroll under “My Portfolio”
Qty % are amount by which shares counts are decreased/increased    
                 

The energy ETFs have really jumped in this month – with 4 trades in natural gas alone, and now the first in crude oil.  (Hallelujah!)   Despite the hedges, REAP is still keeping pace with the S&P500 in this equities rally.   Some key ETFs and stocks that piled on today with big gains were the ProShares Ultra Financials (UYG), Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD), Genesee & Wyoming (GWR), Sun Hydraulics (SNHY), the oil short ETF that traded today (TSX:HOD), and Q-Logic (QLGC).  The natural gas long ETF (TSX:HNU) that also traded today, and Formfactor (FORM) went big the other way.

This is the second time in 4 trading days that REAP has bought natural gas.  We might even see a quick short-term turn-around profit if gas has a sharp snap-back rally  – which it is prone to do

So now we’re not doing all that badly in 2008, down only 2.5% and still well ahead of the S&P500 by 8.6%.  The portfolio long/short bias gradually shifted over the month from about 43% net long up to 53% net long, reflecting the profit-taking in the short hedges – particularly the commodity shorts. 

PORTFOLIO SUMMARY  22-Jul-08
(in $C, adjusted for $US exchange rates)
PORTFOLIO S&P500 S&P500 SP500 $C REAP vs S&P
Reference Date Start Last % % Var.
Inception MAR 07 1395.4 1277.0 -24.6% -24.2% 0.3%
Re-start OCT 07 1565.2 1277.0 -16.9% -12.0% 5.0%
2008 Year to Date 1468.4 1277.0 -11.1% -2.5% 8.6%
Discretionary Trading P&L (included in above results) -5.3%
Dividend Yield (current) 0.89%
Canadian dollar Last Inceptn Var. Restart Var.
0.9921 0.8547 -16.1% 1.0069 1.5%
Currency Mix
Canadian Investments/Cash 32.9%
US Investments 61.6%
Other (country ETFs) 5.6%
Market Bias Long 53.1%
Cash 0.6%
Net Short 23.2%
Net Long 76.2%
Theme Mix
Energy / Commodity 14.9%
Short Commodities 15.1%
Environment / Infrastructure 8.9%
Financial 11.3%
Health Care 10.0%
Technology 13.8%
Short Equities 8.1%
Transportation 8.5%
Hospitality 3.2%
Asia 5.6%
Cash 0.6%
Portfolio Notes
Inception date is when I started tracking portfolio performance in
this blog.  I track it to reflect total performance after initial mistakes
and discretionary trading losses.  A more accurate representation
of REAP’s “pure” performance is as of 10 Oct 07, when I 
re-established it after selling out the portfolio twice due to 
sub-prime systemic concerns.
CANADIAN MARKET HOLDINGS
Stock Sym Cost Last Gain % Weight
Husky Energy HSE $42.12 $41.35 -1.83% 3.1%
HBP NGas Sht ETF HND $10.77 $11.30 4.97% 3.4%
HBP Gold Sht ETF HGD $9.98 $8.78 -11.99% 3.4%
ING Canada IIC $41.12 $38.65 -6.01% 2.3%
HBP Ag Grains Bull+ ETF HAU $16.07 $15.84 -1.46% 2.1%
HBP Oil Sht ETF HOD $11.13 $8.23 -26.08% 3.9%
IGM Financ’l IGM $42.08 $40.41 -3.97% 2.5%
HBP Ag Bear+ ETF HAD $22.35 $23.52 5.25% 4.4%
Precsn Drilling PD.UN $17.65 $23.58 33.60% 3.8%
HBP NGas ETF HNU $27.24 $25.77 -5.39% 3.4%
US MARKET HOLDINGS $C Adj
Stock Sym Cost Last Gain % Weight
Broadcom BRCM $26.12 $27.64 6.67% 1.7%
Gen & Wyom GWR $25.56 $41.76 64.71% 4.5%
PrSh S&P Sh ETF SDS $63.30 $67.15 6.93% 1.9%
PrSh Ultra Financ’l UYG $25.16 $22.60 -9.45% 6.6%
ISh Australia ETF EWA $26.59 $26.22 -0.62% 2.6%
Formfactor FORM $26.57 $18.50 -29.81% 2.7%
Harley Davidson HOG $49.90 $38.03 -23.18% 4.0%
Roch. Medical ROCM $12.37 $10.82 -11.84% 2.5%
Forest Labs FRX $35.70 $35.49 0.19% 4.4%
Nvidia NVDA $23.05 $11.38 -50.24% 3.3%
PrSh Rus2000 Sh ETF SKK $81.18 $69.92 -13.18% 2.4%
Buff Wld Wings BWLD $29.29 $29.26 0.69% 3.2%
Cree Inc CREE $24.32 $20.19 -16.32% 4.2%
PrSh Dow Sh ETF DXD $54.46 $61.70 14.19% 1.0%
iSh Asia ex-Japn EPP $135.60 $135.22 0.51% 2.9%
Credo Petrlm CRED $11.39 $11.92 5.45% 2.5%
Q-Logic QLGC $15.95 $17.95 13.42% 6.1%
PrSh NASD Sht ETF QID $45.37 $45.51 1.12% 2.7%
PrSh Ultra Health ETF RXL $56.38 $56.87 1.67% 3.0%
Sun Hydr’lics SNHY $24.85 $40.62 64.78% 1.7%
Trina Solar TSL $35.67 $27.55 -22.15% 3.0%
           

It looks like everything’s working.  :)

Cheers,
Allocator
a.k.a. George Parkanyi
gparkanyi@hotmail.com

Copyright 2008 – all rights reserved

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