January 2, 2009...10:26 pm

TU#116 – the year’s first trade; it’s crude, dude

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TRADING UPDATE

Well that was a heck of a jump out of the starting gate.  The portfolio is already 2.7% up on the year (2009) in one day, when I had to work a whole year last year to lose 5%.  That thanks to a big jump in oil and getting my year-end portfolio re-positioning mostly right.  For a day at least, anyway.  I’m also .3% ahead of the S&P500, but that’s solely at the pleasure of the Canadian dollar, which chose to rally a little and work in my favour instead of falling and supporting the benchmark.

REAP TRADES
# Trade Qty Stock Symbol Price Grp
207 Sold 34% HBP Cr Oil Bull+ ETF HOU @ $13.96   1
207 Bought 110% HBP SP500 Bear+ ETF HSD @ $28.27   1
                 
REAP methodology detailed in the blogroll under “My Portfolio”    
Qty % are amount by which shares counts are decreased/increased    
                 

Both my Horizons BetaPro crude oil bull+ (HOU) and gold shares bear+ (HGD) ETFs went through 1:5 reverse splits effective today.  That, and not a 500% two-day gain, would explain my selling HOU at $13.96.  However, only 6 trading days ago on December 24th, REAP had bought a large chunk of HOU 41% lower at a reverse-split-adjusted $9.80.  See why I like these ETFs?

With today’s market strength, no surprise then that short ETF HSD was HOU’s dance partner for the buy side of the re-allocation.  So if reality sets in on Monday and the markets back off, at least now I have a little ”southern comfort” with which to do something about it.

So here’s the aftermath of a pretty good day.

PORTFOLIO SUMMARY  2-Jan-09
(in $C, adjusted for $US exchange rates)      
           
PORTFOLIO S&P500 S&P500 SP500 $C REAP vs S&P
Tot Retrn
Reference Date Start Last % % Var.
Inception MAR 07 1406.2 931.8 -26.6% -24.1% 2.5%
Re-start OCT 07 1526.7 931.8 -18.5% -11.9% 6.7%
2009 Year to Date 903.3 931.8 2.3% 2.7% 0.3%
Discretionary Trading P&L (included in above results) -5.3%
Canadian dollar Last Inceptn Var. Restart Var.
0.8248 0.8547 3.5% 1.0069 18.1%
Dividend Yield (current) 3.44%
Intrinsic leverage (from 2x ETFs) x 1.38
Currency Mix 100.0%
Canadian Investments/Cash       46.9%
US Investments         44.8%
Other (country ETFs)         8.3%
           
Market Bias Net Long 62.6%
Cash         1.2%
Short         18.1%
Long         80.7%
           
Theme Mix 100.0%
Commodity ETFs         21.0%
Short Commodity ETFs         10.6%
Short Equity ETFs         4.2%
Short Bond ETFs         3.4%
Energy         10.0%
Agriculture         8.3%
Alt Energy/Infrastructure         12.7%
Financials         14.4%
Health Care         0.0%
Technology         6.3%
Transportation         2.2%
Restaurants         0.0%
Country ETF         5.9%
Cash         1.2%
           
Portfolio Notes
Inception date is when I started tracking portfolio performance in  
this blog.  I track it to reflect total performance after initial mistakes
and discretionary trading losses.  A more accurate representation
of REAP’s “pure” performance is as of 10 Oct 07, when I   
re-established it after selling out the portfolio twice due to   
sub-prime systemic concerns.        
*** S&P Comparison is total return to reflect dividend re-investment
           

3 posts in one day.  I’m done!

Cheers,
Allocator
a.k.a. George Parkanyi
gparkanyi@hotmail.com

Copyright 2009 – all rights reserved

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