July 8, 2009...9:25 pm

TU#172 – REAPing into action

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TRADING UPDATE

After a very quiet couple of weeks of no trades at all, the REAP portfolio finally awoke with a start by scrambling to respond to the clanging of 3 signals presented not just in the same week, but in the same day.  Meanwhile the Commodity ETF portfolio lost some more ground and picked up yet more inventory.  In REAP we were buying loads of real-estate and oil – you can call me “J.R.” from now on.  (Actually once when Cindy and I were in Boston, a black fellow sitting on the steps of a church looked at me strangely as we were walking by, pointed at me and said “Hey, you’re that guy J.R. in “Dallas“!   I wouldn’t have minded being Larry Hagman, but not so much for his character in Dallas as his one in “I Dream of Jeannie“.  I was only a kid when that last aired, but man, Barbara Eden was hot - particularly in that genie suit.”)

REAP TRADES   Trading Update # 172          
# Trade Qty Stock Symbol   Price   Grp
279 Sold 32% iPth Cotton ETF BAL @ $30.46   5
279 Bought 69% Drxn Energy Bull 3X ETF ERX @ $22.24   5
                 
280 Sold 31% ProSh UlSht Silver ETF ZSL @ $10.36   4
280 Bought 36% ProSh Ult RlEst ETF URE @ $3.04   4
                 
281 Sold 33% ProSh UlSht Rus2000 ETF SKK @ $37.58   3
281 Bought 55% ProSh Ult Cr Oil ETF UCO @ $9.82   2
                 
REAP methodology detailed in the blogroll under “My Portfolio”      
Qty % are amount by which shares counts are decreased/increased    
                 
C-ETF TRADES Trading Update # 172          
# Trade Qty Stock Symbol   Price   Grp
  Bought 28% HBP GoldSh Bull+ ETF HGU @ $10.51   ET
  Bought 18% HBP NGas Bull+ ETF HNU @ $4.22   ET
                 
Qty % are amount by which shares counts are decreased/increased    
                 

REAP has been holding up about on pace with the S&P500; the recent weakness in commodities has prevented REAP from really pulling ahead of the S&P500 despite the significant short equity ETF hedges.  In fact one of the sells was the silver short ETF (ZSL).  In the CETF program I’ve pretty much used up all the spare cash to buy on the down-scale.  There have been no sells because there have been no up days.  Two words:   fade … me.

Here’s the portfolio status.

PORTFOLIO SUMMARY    8-Jul-09    
      GAIN WGT  
COMMODITY ETFs       19.9%  
REAP       80.1%  
Total Equity (Cdn)     -32.0% 100.0%  
           
**********************************************************************
           
C-ETF PORTFOLIO       C-ETF  
(Cdn  Dollars)          
Inception 24 JUN 09       -16.2%  
           
CETF POSITIONS          
ETF SYM LAST GAIN% WGT  
HBP DJIA Ag Bull+ ETF HAU $16.50 -20.1% 31.5%  
HBP GoldSh Bull+ ETF HGU $10.25 -9.0% 14.1%  
HBP NGas Bull+ ETF HNU $4.26 -19.9% 22.8%  
HBP CrOil Bull+ ETF HOU $7.16 -16.6% 20.8%  
Cash       10.8%  
           
**********************************************************************
           
REAP PORTFOLIO S&P500 S&P500 SP500 REAP vs S&P
(US Dollars)     TOT RET    
REF DATE START LAST % % VAR
Inception MAR 07 1406.2 879.6 -33.1% -29.3% 3.8%
Re-start OCT 07 1526.7 879.6 -42.4% -29.8% 12.6%
2009 Year to Date 903.3 879.6 -2.6% 1.3% 3.9%
           
CDN DOLLAR LAST INCPT VAR Oct-07 VAR
  0.8593 0.8547 -0.5% 1.0069 14.7%
           
AVERAGE YIELD         1.37%
           
LEVERAGE (from 2x ETFs)     x 1.55
           
CURRENCY MIX         100.0%
US Cash         9.8%
US Investments         76.1%
Other (Currency & Country ETFs)     14.2%
           
MARKET BIAS       NET LONG 35.5%
Cash         9.8%
Short         27.4%
Long         62.9%
           
THEME MIX         100.0%
Agriculture         4.0%
Energy         12.2%
Metals         10.1%
Other Commodity         1.5%
Short Commodity         2.3%
Country ETF         6.2%
Financial         4.7%
Health Care         0.0%
Infrastructure         2.2%
Real Estate         6.3%
Retail         0.0%
Technology         9.3%
Transportation         1.5%
Short Equity         20.9%
Short Bond         4.1%
Currency         4.8%
Cash         9.8%
           
Portfolio Notes          
Inception date is when I started tracking portfolio performance in  
this blog.  I track it to reflect total performance after initial mistakes
and discretionary trading losses.  A more accurate representation
of REAP’s “pure” performance is as of 10 Oct 07, when I   
re-established it after selling out the portfolio twice due to   
sub-prime systemic concerns.        
*** S&P Comparison is total return to reflect dividend re-investment
           
REAP GROUPS          
STOCK SYM LAST GAIN % WGT YLD
GROUP #1           
ProSh Ultra Silver ETF AGQ $36.23 -13.68% 4.6% 0.00%
British Petroleum BP $45.31 -2.86% 2.9% 7.15%
Buff Wld Wings BWLD $31.75 0.00% 0.0% 0.00%
iSh Australia ETF EWA $15.55 0.00% 0.0% 0.00%
Garmin GRMN $22.89 4.18% 1.0% 3.42%
iPth Coffee ETF JO $34.26 -6.61% 1.6% 0.00%
           
GROUP #1           
FTSE/Xinhua China ETF FXI $36.51 6.35% 3.2% 1.21%
Genesee & Wyoming GWR $25.00 2.80% 1.5% 0.00%
Nvidia NVDA $10.11 16.90% 5.0% 0.00%
UBS Ag Platinum ETF PTM $13.03 -7.04% 3.0% 0.00%
ProSh UlSht SP500 ETF SDS $60.16 4.07% 7.0% 1.00%
ProSh Ult Cr Oil ETF UCO $9.71 6.59% 3.4% 0.00%
           
GROUP #1           
Clay Gl Lumber ETF CUT $12.61 0.00% 0.0% 0.00%
iSh Singapore ETF EWS $8.66 0.00% 0.0% 0.00%
Formfactor FORM $18.97 0.00% 0.0% 0.00%
ProSh UlSht Rus2000 ETF SKK $36.80 9.52% 1.3% 2.53%
Sun Hydraulics SNHY $15.40 -6.05% 2.2% 1.96%
ProSh USht Bonds ETF TBT $48.35 23.68% 4.1% 1.69%
           
GROUP #1           
iPth Copper ETF JJC $29.94 0.00% 0.0% 0.00%
Nokia NOK $14.17 -6.99% 3.3% 3.93%
ProSh UlSht QQQ ETF QID $34.93 -12.68% 5.5% 2.02%
ProSh Ult RlEst ETF URE $3.13 -5.78% 6.3% 7.63%
ProSh Ult JpYen ETF YCL $26.64 2.41% 2.5% 0.00%
ProSh UlSht Silver ETF ZSL $10.30 20.49% 2.3% 0.00%
           
GROUP #5          
iPth Cotton ETF BAL $30.68 -5.16% 1.5% 0.00%
CME Group CME $263.90 14.13% 2.8% 1.99%
Drxn Energy Bull 3X ETF ERX $23.31 -11.07% 3.2% 0.77%
Merck MRK $28.04 0.00% 0.0% 0.00%
Claym Gl Solar ETF TAN $8.41 -8.91% 2.7% 0.00%
MkVec Gold Mng ETF GDX $35.19 -8.08% 2.4% 0.03%
           
GROUP #6          
Broadcom BRCM $23.35 0.00% 0.0% 0.00%
ProSh UlSht Dow ETF DXD $51.00 -11.46% 7.1% 0.96%
iSh Hong Kong ETF EWH $13.07 4.27% 3.0% 5.86%
iPth Sugar ETF SGG $51.86 2.74% 2.4% 0.00%
ProSh Ult Euro ETF ULE $28.55 0.99% 2.3% 0.00%
ProSh Ult Financl ETF UYG $3.41 -8.82% 2.0% 1.89%
           

Cindy is now in St Louis and I’m Mr. Mom again for this week at least.  Last time she was in Seattle to help her sister Elizabeth get through her cancer treatments.  This time it was Cindy’s mother Jane having to undergo emergency surgery for an intestinal blockage.  Jane appears to have come through nicely and is on the mend.  Elizabeth thankfully is also recovering – there are no visible remaining signs of the cancer, but getting the chemo out of the system is an arduous many-month-long process.   We’re all planning to get together in Hawaii in the first week of August – I hope everyone will be up to it.  Our family get-togethers are always fun.

Yesterday my son Ben’s oil-pan on his 96 Jetta decided to blow a plug and spew all the oil in the car all over his mother’s driveway.  Spent half the night last night waiting for the CAA tow-truck to arrive, and then had to go to the east end this evening to pick up (and pay for) the repaired car with Ben.  So the activity around here has turned up a notch or two these days.  But … I blog, therefore I am.   :)

Cheers,
Allocator
a.k.a. George Parkanyi

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